Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
