Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 27.46% | 24.89% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( | 48.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% | 31.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( | 68.21% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( | 20.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.21% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.46% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.19% 1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.65% |