Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
AJ Auxerre

Strasbourg
3 - 1
Auxerre

Diarra (45+4' pen.), Lemarechal (59'), Emegha (87')
Emegha (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Traore (14')
Jubal (45+3'), Akpa (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RC Calais 0-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, December 21 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Auxerre 0-1 Dunkerque
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawAuxerre
39.42% (0.37 0.37)24.92% (-0.055 -0.05)35.65% (-0.314 -0.31)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.221 0.22)45.4% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (0.21 0.21)67.74% (-0.208 -0.21)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.286 0.29)22.89% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.41999999999999 0.42)56.63% (-0.418 -0.42)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)24.89% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49% (-0.101 -0.1)59.5% (0.104 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 39.42%
    Auxerre 35.65%
    Draw 24.92%
StrasbourgDrawAuxerre
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 39.42%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Auxerre

Strasbourg
75.0%
Draw
18.8%
Auxerre
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 28
Strasbourg
2-0
Auxerre
Nyamsi (5'), Diallo (85')
Aug 27, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 4
Auxerre
1-0
Strasbourg
Perrin (29')

Bellegarde (25')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!