We said: Auxerre 0-1 Lille
Auxerre have been superb all season at home, but recent results are cause for great concern, and there will be worries that their purple patch may have abruptly come to a halt.
Simply matching the club-record unbeaten record will not be enough to satisfy the visitors, who have ambitions of breaking into the top three, especially after dropping two points last weekend, and despite missing some key players, Lille will be slight favourites.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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