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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Emegha (23'), Greenwood (68' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Brassier (90+5'), Vaz (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (26'), Doue (28'), Lemarechal (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg

Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
55.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (0.067 0.07)44.61% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)70.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 55.18%
    Strasbourg 22.18%
    Draw 22.63%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
86.0%
Draw
8.8%
Strasbourg
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Moreira (40')
Rosenior (7'), Doukoure (56'), Doue (68')

Rabiot (75')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Gigot (3')
Meite (34'), Nadir (84'), Gigot (90+6')
Sebas (90+2')
Senaya (77'), Doukoure (90+6')
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')
Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Aholou (88', 89')
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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