Angers
Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Brest logo
Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
PSG logo
PSG logo
Reims
Reims
Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Marseille

Auxerre
3 - 0
Marseille

Perrin (34'), Jubal (77' pen., 90+1')
Hoever (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cornelius (38'), Rulli (75')
Cornelius (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-2 Auxerre
Friday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 5-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
AuxerreDrawMarseille
23.33% (-0.432 -0.43)25.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)51.56% (0.457 0.46)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.286 -0.29)52.59% (0.286 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (-0.247 -0.25)74.24% (0.247 0.25)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-0.557 -0.56)37.5% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-0.552 -0.55)74.29% (0.551 0.55)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)20.4% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.18% (0.11799999999999 0.12)52.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 23.33%
    Marseille 51.56%
    Draw 25.11%
AuxerreDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.04% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 51.56%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Marseille

Auxerre
15.8%
Draw
8.8%
Marseille
75.4%
57
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
1-3
Auxerre
Greenwood (65' pen.)
Rabiot (60'), Greenwood (66'), Wahi (87')
Sinayoko (10'), Perrin (43'), Traore (45')
Leon (66'), Bair (88')
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
2-1
Auxerre
Under (75'), Sanchez (77')
Toure (33')
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Marseille

Jubal (39'), Furlan (54')
Gerson (8'), Sanchez (84')
Tudor (42'), Harit (90')
May 13, 2012 4pm
Aug 14, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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