Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
| 23.33% ( | 25.11% ( | 51.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( | 52.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( | 74.24% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( | 37.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.71% ( | 74.29% ( |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( | 20.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.18% ( | 52.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.33% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-3 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 1-4 @ 2% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.56% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
