Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.39) 
0.42) 
