Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.