Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
| 40.1% | 27.46% | 32.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% | 56.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% | 77.59% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.82% | 63.18% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% | 32.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.1% | 68.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.34% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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