Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Lille had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Clermont in this match.
| Result | ||
| Clermont | Draw | Lille |
| 37.46% | 26.73% | 35.8% |
| Both teams to score 51.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% | 53.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% | 74.84% |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% | 27.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.92% | 63.08% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Clermont | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.45% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 |
| 2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
| 7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 |
| 11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
| 20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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