Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
