Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
