Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Rennes | 
| 31.59% | 26.56% | 41.85% | 
| Both teams to score 51.41% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.66% | 53.34% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.12% | 74.88% | 
| Brest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.71% | 31.29% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.35% | 67.65% | 
| Rennes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.82% | 25.18% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.09% | 59.91% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brest | Draw | Rennes | 
| 1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.45% Total : 41.85% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 
| 2 | Lens | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 
| 3 | Marseille | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 
| 5 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 
| 6 | Rennes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 
| 7 | Lorient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | 
| 8 | Lille | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | 
| 9 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 
| 10 | NantesNantes | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 
| 11 | Troyes | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | 
| 12 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | 
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 | 
| 14 | Reims | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 5 | 
| 15 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | 
| 16 | MonacoMonaco | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 5 | 
| 17 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | 
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | 
| 19 | Angers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 2 | 
| 20 | Ajaccio | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | 
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