

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 32.77% | 24.1% | 43.12% |
| Both teams to score 60.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.75% | 42.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.34% | 64.65% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% | 25.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.24% | 59.75% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.13% | 51.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% 1-0 @ 6.87% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.77% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.08% Total : 43.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | MonacoMonaco | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Nice | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Brest | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Lille | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | NantesNantes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Lens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Lorient | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Lyon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Clermont | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 2 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
