Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Lens had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
