

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Twente | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Groningen | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | NEC | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 76.46% ( | 14.73% ( | 8.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.24% ( | 34.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.28% ( | 56.72% ( |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.49% ( | 7.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.06% ( | 26.94% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.7% ( | 46.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.05% ( | 81.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 3-0 @ 10.05% ( 1-0 @ 9% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 3-1 @ 7.74% ( 4-0 @ 6.51% ( 4-1 @ 5.01% ( 5-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 6-0 @ 1.46% ( 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 5-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 76.45% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 2-2 @ 3.45% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.73% | 0-1 @ 2.68% ( 1-2 @ 2.67% ( 0-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 8.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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