| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | NEC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for NEC had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.46%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | NEC |
| 44.42% ( | 22.7% ( | 32.89% |
| Both teams to score 65.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.63% | 35.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.6% ( | 57.4% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( | 16.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.78% ( | 46.22% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( | 21.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.1% ( | 54.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-2 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.6% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.58% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-1 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.53% Total : 32.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 49 |
| 2 | Ajax | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 63 | 22 | 41 | 46 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 26 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
| 17 | Groningen | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 13 |
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