Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.74%) and 0-2 (4.99%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
