Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 38.15% ( | 28.07% ( | 33.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.34% ( | 58.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( | 79.2% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( | 29.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.19% ( | 65.81% ( |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( | 32.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.95% ( | 69.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 7.11% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 81 |
| 2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 73 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 70 |
| 4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 70 |
| 6 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 68 |
| 7 | Salford City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 65 |
| 9 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 61 |
| 10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 57 |
| 11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 53 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 51 |
| 13 | Walsall | 41 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 51 |
| 14 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 |
| 15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 51 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 48 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
| 19 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 47 |
| 20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 41 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 41 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 39 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 33 |
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