Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic | 
| 54.96% ( | 22.97% | 22.07% | 
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.97% ( | 45.03% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.62% ( | 67.38% ( | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.74% ( | 16.26% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.2% ( | 45.8% ( | 
| Oldham Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.53% ( | 34.47% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.82% ( | 71.18% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Oldham Athletic | 
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 54.96%  | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.97%  | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.1% Total : 22.07%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 | 
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 | 
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 | 
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 | 
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 | 
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 | 
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 | 
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 | 
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 | 
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 | 
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 | 
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