Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
32.7% ( 1.49) | 25.46% ( 0.4) | 41.85% ( -1.89) |
Both teams to score 55.37% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( -1.23) | 48.4% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( -1.14) | 70.54% ( 1.13) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% ( 0.36) | 28.09% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.24% ( 0.45) | 63.76% ( -0.45) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -1.42) | 23% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -2.14) | 56.8% ( 2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 97 | 35 | 62 | 94 |
2 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 |
3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 |
6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 |
8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 |
17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 |
21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 |
22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 |
23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 |
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