Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
35.13% | 26.12% | 38.75% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.21% | 50.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% | 72.68% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% | 27.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% | 63.31% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% | 25.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.43% | 60.57% |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Notts County | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 80 | 29 | 51 | 77 |
2 | Wrexham | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 72 |
3 | Woking | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 58 |
4 | Chesterfield | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 53 |
5 | Barnet | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 53 |
6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Bromley | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 44 |
9 | Eastleigh | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 42 |
11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 38 |
14 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 36 |
15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 33 |
17 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 32 |
18 | York City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 32 |
19 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
21 | Gateshead | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 29 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 23 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 22 |
> Full Version |