Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
48.91% ( -0) | 23.47% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -0.03) | 42.06% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.53% ( -0.03) | 64.46% ( 0.03) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( -0.01) | 17.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% ( -0.02) | 47.77% ( 0.02) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( -0.02) | 28.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( -0.02) | 64.07% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.64% 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 27.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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