Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
