Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 37 | 54 |
2 | CF Montreal | 27 | 10 | 49 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 28 | 8 | 44 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | New England Revolution | 27 | -3 | 34 |
8 | Atlanta United | 27 | 0 | 33 |
9 | Toronto | 28 | -5 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
58.29% | 22.14% (![]() | 19.57% |
Both teams to score 53.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.37% (![]() | 44.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% (![]() | 66.99% (![]() |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% (![]() | 15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.53% (![]() | 43.47% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% (![]() | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.91% 3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.61% Total : 58.29% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 0-0 @ 5.51% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |