| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | DC United | 27 | -29 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 24 | 57 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 44 |
| 3 | Dallas | 29 | 7 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 34.31% ( | 24.53% | 41.16% |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.2% ( | 43.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( | 66.18% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.1% ( | 24.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.48% ( | 59.52% ( |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( | 21.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.7% ( | 54.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
