Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 38.95% | 26.57% | 34.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% | 52.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% | 74.38% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% | 26.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.36% | 61.64% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.98% | 65.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 63 |
| 2 | Marseille | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 51 |
| 4 | Lens | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 51 |
| 5 | Rennes | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 46 |
| 6 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Nice | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Reims | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Lorient | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Lyon | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 38 |
| 11 | Clermont | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 34 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Brest | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| 19 | Troyes | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 20 |
| 20 | Angers | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 10 |
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