Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 44.9% | 26.08% | 29.02% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% | 23.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.77% | 57.23% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.51% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 24 | 29 |
| 2 | Lorient | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Rennes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 21 |
| 7 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Clermont | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Lyon | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Troyes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Nice | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Reims | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 9 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Ajaccio | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 19 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
| 20 | Brest | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 6 |
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