Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.
