Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
