Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 37.53% | 26.32% | 36.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% | 73.36% |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.04% | 61.96% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% | 27.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.99% | 63.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nice | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 32 |
| 2 | Lens | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Lorient | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 4 | Rennes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Lille | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Clermont | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Troyes | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Nice | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Reims | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 | Brest | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Auxerre | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 9 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 8 |
| 20 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 8 |
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