

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 13.8% | 18.6% | 67.61% |
| Both teams to score 53.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.82% | 39.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% | 61.52% |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.35% | 10.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.95% 1-0 @ 3.9% 2-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.33% 3-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.67% Total : 13.8% | 1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.42% 0-0 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.6% | 0-2 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 8.08% 1-3 @ 7.3% 0-4 @ 4.52% 1-4 @ 4.09% 2-3 @ 3.3% 0-5 @ 2.03% 2-4 @ 1.85% 1-5 @ 1.83% Other @ 4.36% Total : 67.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nice | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | NantesNantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Marseille | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Metz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Lyon | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
