Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 53.61% | 24.63% | 21.76% |
| Both teams to score 49.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% | 52.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% | 73.94% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% | 19.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.73% | 51.27% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% | 38.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.44% | 75.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.9% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brest | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Nice | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Marseille | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Lille | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Lorient | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Lens | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Lyon | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 | Clermont | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 1 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
