The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
| 30.68% | 27.59% | 41.73% |
| Both teams to score 47.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% | 57.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% | 78.34% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% | 34.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.19% | 70.81% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% | 27.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne 30.68%
Lille 41.72%
Draw 27.59%
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 7.87% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.72% |
How you voted: St Etienne vs Lille
Saint-Etienne
14.8%Draw
13.1%Lille
72.1%61
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 8pm
Nov 29, 2020 8pm
May 9, 2020 7pm
Aug 28, 2019 6pm
Mar 10, 2019 2pm
Form Guide
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