Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.