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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 8.05pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lille

Lyon
2 - 1
Lille

Lacazette (38' pen.), Cherki (70')
Lacazette (22'), Tolisso (25'), Maitland-Niles (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diakite (1')
Andre (56'), Diakite (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 4-2 Lyon
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Lille

Remarkably, the two clubs have identical records in 2025, winning six, drawing two and losing four, and there is a good chance that their records could still be matching by the end of Saturday. Lille have taken just 17 points from a possible 39 on the road, but the vast majority of their away matches this season have ended level, and it is very tough to split these two sides who are both capable of achieving success this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 54.28%. A win for Lille has a probability of 24.44% and a draw has a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.2%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Lille win is 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.29%).

Result
LyonDrawLille
54.28% (-0.397 -0.4) 21.27% (-0.234 -0.23) 24.44% (0.625 0.63)
Both teams to score 63.95% (1.633 1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.56% (1.805 1.81)34.44% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.64% (2.007 2.01)56.36% (-2.012 -2.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.485 0.48)12.84% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (0.992 0.99)39.19% (-0.997 -1)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (1.47 1.47)26.63% (-1.474 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (1.905 1.91)61.86% (-1.91 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 54.28%
    Lille 24.44%
    Draw 21.27%
LyonDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.403 -0.4)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.53 -0.53)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.199 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.21% (0.14 0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.04%
4-3 @ 0.98% (0.099 0.1)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 54.28%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.188 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lille

Lyon
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Lille
10.0%
70
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-1
Lyon
David (17')
Genesio (27'), Caleta-Car (43'), Zhegrova (57'), Mukau (90+2')
Fofana (90+1')
Caleta-Car (30')
May 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
3-4
Lyon
Diakite (21', 85'), Zhegrova (37')
Gomes (28'), Arnar Haraldsson (80'), Yoro (90+4')
Benrahma (65'), Fofana (82'), Lacazette (88'), Balde (90+2')
Nuamah (35')
Feb 7, 2024 5.30pm
Round of 16
Lyon
2-1
Lille
Orban (40'), Cherki (47')
Tagliafico (67'), Caleta-Car (68')
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Lyon
0-2
Lille

Balde (66'), Akouokou (72')
David (27'), Santos (32')
Gudmundsson (13'), Santos (32')
Mar 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
3-3
Lyon
David (46', 61' pen., 79' pen.)
Barcola (64'), Lacazette (83', 89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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