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Ligue 1

Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Montpellier

Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier

Del Castillo (15')
Lees-Melou (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nzingoula (13'), Fayad (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Reims
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
BrestDrawMontpellier HSC
54.78% (0.054000000000002 0.05)22.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.93% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.38% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (-0.148 -0.15)40.92% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (-0.151 -0.15)63.31% (0.15 0.15)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)14.88% (0.031999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)43.24% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)31.41% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.165 -0.16)67.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Brest 54.78%
    Montpellier HSC 22.93%
    Draw 22.28%
BrestDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Brest vs Montpellier

Brest
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Montpellier HSC
9.1%
22
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 11
Montpellier
3-1
Brest
Nordin (6' pen.), Khazri (12'), Coulibaly (84')
Khazri (16'), Ferri (56'), Sagnan (62'), Toure (69'), Chennahi (90+2')
Martin (50')
Martin (26')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
2-0
Montpellier
Magnetti (48'), Le Douaron (90+2')
Magnetti (45')

Chotard (44'), Jullien (57')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Savanier (51' pen.)
Savanier (24'), Adams (90+6')
Esteve (20' og.), Pereira Lage (64'), Doumbia (90+3')
Lees-Melou (30'), Del Castillo (45')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Montpellier
3-0
Brest
Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Brest
0-7
Montpellier

Lees-Melou (50')
Maouassa (6'), Wahi (10', 31'), Khazri (11'), Cozza (25'), Germain (64', 84')
Nordin (62'), Leroy (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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