Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Nacional win it is 1-0 (6.2%).
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
19.42% (![]() | 23.18% (![]() | 57.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% (![]() | 49.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% (![]() | 71.28% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.46% (![]() | 39.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.77% (![]() | 76.23% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% (![]() | 16.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.05% (![]() | 46.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.42% | 1-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.17% | 0-1 @ 11.87% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.55% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.94% Total : 57.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |