Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional1 - 2Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Nacional
Sunday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
44
We said: Nacional 0-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional's strong record at home in this fixture might come into play, but Vitoria arrive in better shape and should have enough to edge this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
21.3% ( 0.84) | 23.5% ( 0.05) | 55.2% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
