MX23RW : Monday, April 28 15:18:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 3, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Nacional
vs.
Guimaraes

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Nacional
Sunday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Nacional win it is 1-0 (6.2%).

Result
NacionalDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
19.42% (-0.158 -0.16) 23.18% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 57.4% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.22% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46% (-0.178 -0.18)39.54% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.165 -0.17)76.23% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.069000000000003 0.07)16.9% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.05% (0.125 0.13)46.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 19.42%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%
    Draw 23.17%
NacionalDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.12% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.42%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 11.87% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.55% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 6.26% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-5 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 57.38%

Who will win Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Guimaraes?

Nacional
Draw
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 15
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Silva (24' pen.), Santos (49')
Handel (90+1')
Aguiar Tomich (9'), Aurelio (90+3')
Vitor (18')
Apr 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Guimaraes
3-1
Nacional
Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')
Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')
May 5, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Toze (11' pen.), Hanin (78')
Wakaso (4'), Davidson (45'), Hanin (87'), Dodo (87')
Wakaso (24')
Coelho (82'), Alhassan (92')
Arabidze (12'), Campos (60'), Alhassan (64'), Camacho (65'), Goncalves (69')
Jan 2, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Camacho (9')
Rochez (22'), Hamzaoui (66'), Franca (78')

Davidson (12'), John (27'), Celis (46'), Osorio (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31236283255875
2Benfica31243480255575
3Braga31197552262664
4Porto31195757282962
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes311312644321251
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara31155113129250
7FamalicaoFamalicao31111194034644
8Casa Pia30118113538-341
9Estoril PraiaEstoril30109113848-1039
10MoreirenseMoreirense3199133645-936
11Nacional3196162842-1433
12AroucaArouca3189143047-1733
13Rio AveRio Ave3189143351-1833
14Gil Vicente3188153143-1232
15Estrela Amadora3178162443-1929
16AVS31412152355-3224
17SC FarenseFarense3149182042-2221
18BoavistaBoavista3156202052-3221


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