Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-4 Betis
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, March 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela Amadora
While both sides are unbeaten in recent outings, Vitoria are favoured to prevail, despite their mixed inconsistency on home soil, as they face an Estrela side that has struggled to pick up points on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.26%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
64.52% ( -0.16) | 21.81% ( 0.06) | 13.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
