Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, February 27 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Thursday, February 27 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Gil Vicente
Given both sides' struggles in the final third — Estrela managing just two goals in their last four outings and Gil Vicente drawing blank in as many matches — this is shaping up to be a low-scoring affair. However, with momentum on the hosts' side and their success in this fixture on home soil, they are expected to grind out a win, though it may not come easily, especially with the visitors looking to show early signs of improvement under their new manager. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Gil Vicente |
27.4% ( 0.62) | 29.01% ( 0.47) | 43.58% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.57% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
