

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 49.32% ( | 25.8% ( | 24.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( | 53.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( | 75.37% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( | 21.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% ( | 55.14% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( | 36.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.39% ( | 73.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.31% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 24.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 23 | 47 | 62 |
| 2 | Benfica | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 43 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 36 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 | Nacional | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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