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Arouca
Benfica
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Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estoril

Gil Vicente
1 - 2
Estoril

Correia (15')
Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Begraoui (45+5' pen.), Boma (84')
Alvaro (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, January 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril Praia

Estoril's resurgence in form so far this year has been quite remarkable, and while home teams would have previously viewed the visit of the notoriously-bad travellers as a welcome one, suddenly they look like a dangerous and free-scoring outfit on their travels. Away clean sheets are still a rarity for Estoril - they have kept only two in their last 20 on the road - and Gil Vicente have proven themselves a very difficult team to beat at home this season, but the visitors are riding the crest of a wave at the moment and we expect that momentum to carry them to another victory, extending their perplexing yet perfect start to 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
49.32% (-0.108 -0.11) 25.8% (0.322 0.32) 24.89% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.35% (-1.123 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (-1.375 -1.38)53.91% (1.388 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-1.166 -1.17)75.37% (1.179 1.18)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)21.89% (0.621 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-0.94 -0.94)55.14% (0.95200000000001 0.95)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.93 -0.93)36.83% (0.941 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.945 -0.94)73.62% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 49.31%
    Estoril Praia 24.89%
    Draw 25.79%
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.24% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 9.3% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.231 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.89%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Estoril
0-0
Gil Vicente
Michel (53'), Carvalho (73'), Zanocelo (87'), Mangala (89')
Cruz (76')
Feb 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 22
Estoril
1-3
Gil Vicente
Marques (46')
Vital (25'), Seabra (26'), Marques (57')
Gomes (65')
Pereira (59'), Correia (69'), Alipour (90+6')
Pereira (37'), Toure (51'), Correia (72')
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Gil Vicente
5-3
Estoril
Tiba (9'), Dominguez (39'), Costa (45+2' pen.), Correia (54'), Depu (56')
Dominguez (57'), Correia (65'), Gbane (69')
Cassiano (51' pen., 84'), Marques (61')
Alvaro (13'), Cassiano (15')
Mar 31, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715


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