

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 49.45%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 49.45% ( | 26.48% ( | 24.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( | 57.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( | 77.92% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( | 23.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.99% ( | 57.01% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.7% ( | 39.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.99% ( | 76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 27 | 59 | 79 |
| 2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 79 |
| 3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 68 |
| 4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 65 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 54 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 35 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
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