Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
43.04% (![]() | 24.8% (![]() | 32.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% (![]() | 45.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.01% (![]() | 67.99% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% (![]() | 21.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.82% (![]() | 54.18% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% (![]() | 62.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
2-1 @ 9.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 11.64% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.6% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 86 | 27 | 59 | 79 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62 | 30 | 32 | 68 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 43 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 37 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 35 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |