

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gil Vicente has a probability of 33.78% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win is 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.31%).
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 40.3% (  0.01) | 25.92% (  0.01) | 33.78% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 54.11% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.83% (  -0.04) | 50.17% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.87% (  -0.04) | 72.13% (  0.04) | 
| Famalicao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.44% (  -0.01) | 24.56% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.95% (  -0.02) | 59.04% (  0.02) | 
| Gil Vicente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.73% (  -0.03) | 28.27% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.01% (  -0.04) | 63.99% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente | 
| 1-0 @ 9.75% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.84% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.05% (  -0) 3-0 @ 3.2% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.56% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% (  -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.94% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% (  -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.77% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.28% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% (  -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% (  -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.78% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 | 
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | 
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 | 
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 | 
| 15 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | 
| 18 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 | 
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