FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Valley
Charlton
1 - 1
Cray Valley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Cray Valley
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Sunday, November 8 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
We said: Charlton Athletic 4-1 Cray Valley Paper Mills
Cray Valley Paper Mills travel on a high and with little to lost against third-tier opposition and will certainly look to cause problems for Michael Appleton's side. While they may be no pushovers given the magnitude of this game for the Millers, even with rotations anticipated Charlton should have more than enough to see their non-league visitors off on home turf and progress to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 84.66%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 5.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 4-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 1-2 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cray Valley Paper Mills |
| 84.66% | 10.05% | 5.28% |
| Both teams to score 50.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
