Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saarbrucken win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saarbrucken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.29%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Saarbrucken in this match.
0.06) 
-0.05) 
