

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
| 50.84% ( | 24.08% | 25.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( | 46.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( | 69.05% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( | 18.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.41% ( | 49.59% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( | 32.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.65% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
