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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Fiorentina logo

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
31.54% (0.302 0.3) 25.11% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 43.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.209 0.21)28.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.264 0.26)64.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.142 -0.14)21.81% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.217 -0.22)55.02% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 31.54%
    Fiorentina 43.34%
    Draw 25.11%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese
13.3%
Draw
30.0%
Fiorentina
56.7%
30
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
0-4
Udinese

Gonzalez (49'), Torreira (59'), Maleh (90+4')
Mari (12'), Deulofeu (36'), Walace (90+1'), Udogie (90+5')
Nuytinck (16'), Deulofeu (49'), Makengo (55'), Udogie (80')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Udinese
0-1
Fiorentina

Arslan (45+2'), Walace (53')
Vlahovic (16' pen.)
Martinez (17'), Amrabat (70'), Odriozola (90+6')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Udinese
1-0
Fiorentina
Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15Parma38715164458-1436
16CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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