

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
| 56.5% ( | 23.62% ( | 19.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.34% ( | 17.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.72% ( | 48.28% ( |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( | 39.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.58% ( | 76.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 5-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 32 | 40 | 71 |
| 2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 64 |
| 4 | Bologna | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
| 6 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 |
| 7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
| 15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
| 16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
| 18 | VeneziaVenezia | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 25 |
| 19 | Empoli | 33 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 25 |
| 20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
