

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 49.61% ( | 22.04% ( | 28.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( | 34.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% ( | 56.65% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( | 14.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.71% ( | 42.29% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
