

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 31.61% ( | 22.99% ( | 45.4% ( | 
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.65% ( | 37.35% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.44% ( | 59.56% ( | 
| SBV Excelsior Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.6% ( | 23.39% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.62% ( | 57.38% ( | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.11% ( | 16.89% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.07% ( | 46.93% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 5.38% ( 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 4.28% Total : 45.4% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 | 
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | 
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 | 
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 | 
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 | 
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 | 
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
